The Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA) love to hand out Golden Globes to shows and performers who haven’t won before. And I think this year, we’ll see a lot of that again—no repeat wins in fact. Here’s how I see things going for the television categories at this Sunday’s 77th Golden Globe Awards
Best Television Series – Drama
BIG LITTLE LIES
THE MORNING SHOW
This one really should go to SUCCESSION. Even though THE CROWN does come close, SUCCESSION really did stand out this year, and I think the HFPA will see things that way as well.
Best Performance By An Actress In A Television Series – Drama
Jennifer Aniston – THE MORNING SHOW, as Alex Levy
Olivia Colman – THE CROWN, as Queen Elizabeth II
Jodie Comer – KILLING EVE, as Oksana Astankova / Villanelle
Nicole Kidman – BIG LITTLE LIES, as Celeste Wright
Reese Witherspoon – THE MORNING SHOW, as Bradley Jackson
Olivia Colman deserves this for her incredibly restrained, yet marvelously moving performance as the queen. But Jennifer Aniston also deserves this for her power-packed performance in THE MORNING SHOW, conveying all of Alex Levy’s ambition, desperation, exasperation, rage and ruthlessness so well with just her eyes. And I think Aniston will win. She’ll bring the star power to the stage, and this—her first TV lead role since FRIENDS—and THE MORNING SHOW itself, have been among the most talked about TV phenomena of the year.
Best Performance By An Actor In A Television Series – Drama
Brian Cox – SUCCESSION, as Logan Roy
Kit Harington – GAME OF THRONES, as Jon Snow
Rami Malek – MR. ROBOT, as Elliot Alderson
Tobias Menzies – THE CROWN, as Prince Philip, Duke of Edinburgh
Billy Porter – POSE, as Pray Tell
Brian Cox could win this if the HFPA want to go all out with their appreciation of SUCCESSION. However, I think Billy Porter will win this.
Best Television Series – Musical Or Comedy
THE KOMINSKY METHOD
THE MARVELOUS MRS. MAISEL
This is FLEABAG’s and Phoebe Waller-Bridge’s year. FLEABAG is winning this. I don’t think anyone expects otherwise.
Best Performance By An Actress In A Television Series – Musical Or Comedy
Christina Applegate – DEAD TO ME, as Jen Harding
Rachel Brosnahan – THE MARVELOUS MRS. MAISEL, as Miriam "Midge" Maisel
Kirsten Dunst – ON BECOMING A GOD IN CENTRAL FLORIDA, as Krystal Stubbs
Natasha Lyonne – RUSSIAN DOLL, as Nadia Vulvokov
Phoebe Waller-Bridge – FLEABAG, as Fleabag
This is Phoebe Waller-Bridge’s year indeed. All odds are in her favor. She’s winning this for sure and she deserves it.
Best Performance By An Actor In A Television Series – Musical Or Comedy
Michael Douglas – THE KOMINSKY METHOD, as Sandy Kominsky
Bill Hader – BARRY, as Barry Berkman / Barry Block
Ben Platt – THE POLITICIAN, as Payton Hobart
Paul Rudd – LIVING WITH YOURSELF, as Miles Elliot / Miles Elliot's Clone
Ramy Youssef – RAMY, as Ramy Hassan
Michael Douglas could win again, but the HFPA tend to not repeat winners in categories (at least not in the last decade or so for lead actor, comedy). In fact, their love for first-time nominated performances opens this up to Ben Platt, Paul Rudd and Ramy Youssef. However, I think they’ll give it to Bill Hader since he lost out on the Globe last time.
Best Television Limited Series Or Motion Picture Made For Television
THE LOUDEST VOICE
The HFPA do have a tendency to award series and performers who haven’t been recognized yet at any major awards show. If they’re to live up to this, they’ll go with UNBELIEVABLE. Though I suspect that the awards favorite CHERNOBYL will take this home.
Best Performance By An Actress In A Television Limited Series Or Motion Picture Made For Television
Kaitlyn Dever – UNBELIEVABLE, as Marie Adler
Joey King – THE ACT, as Gypsy Rose Blanchard
Helen Mirren – CATHERINE THE GREAT, as Catherine the Great
Merritt Wever – UNBELIEVABLE, as Det. Karen Duvall
Michelle Williams – FOSSE/VERDON, as Gwen Verdon
Michelle Williams will win this one. UNBELIEVABLE stands a good chance, but votes split between its two nominees will be Williams’ gain. Besides, FOSSE/VERDON has received tremendous critically acclaim after being considered underrated.
Best Performance By An Actor In A Television Limited Series Or Motion Picture Made For Television
Christopher Abbott – CATCH-22, as Capt. John Yossarian
Sacha Baron Cohen – THE SPY, as Eli Cohen / Kamel Amin Thaabet
Russell Crowe – THE LOUDEST VOICE, as Roger Ailes
Jared Harris – CHERNOBYL, as Valery Legasov
Sam Rockwell – FOSSE/VERDON, as Bob Fosse
Again, if the Globes want fresh winners, this will go to Sacha Baron Cohen. However, a fresh winner would also be Jared Harris, since he lost out on the Emmy for CHERNOBYL. Whether or not that’s the reason he’ll win, I still believe the odds are in his favor.
Best Performance By A Supporting Actress In A Series, Limited Series Or Motion Picture Made For Television
Alan Arkin – THE KOMINSKY METHOD, as Norman Newlander
Kieran Culkin – SUCCESSION, as Roman Roy
Andrew Scott – FLEABAG, as The Priest
Stellan Skarsgård – CHERNOBYL, as Boris Shcherbina
Henry Winkler – BARRY, as Gene Cousineau
All odds are in favor of Andrew Scott, who did indeed add exceptional value to an already brilliant series. I think he should win and I believe he will.
Best Performance By A Supporting Actor In A Series, Limited Series Or Motion Picture Made For Television
Patricia Arquette – THE ACT, as Dee Dee Blanchard
Helena Bonham Carter – THE CROWN, as Princess Margaret
Toni Collette – UNBELIEVABLE, as Det. Grace Rasmussen
Meryl Streep – BIG LITTLE LIES, as Mary Louise Wright
Emily Watson – CHERNOBYL, as Ulana Khomyuk
This will come down to either Meryl Streep or Helena Bonham Carter. While Streep was exquisite in BIG LITTLE LIES, it will be painful to see Bonham Carter not win for her layered and complex performance in THE CROWN, especially since this gem of an actress has never won a Golden Globe (or even an Oscar or an Emmy for that matter!) I’d put my money on Helena Bonham Carter winning.