January 20, 2018

SCREEN ACTORS GUILD AWARDS 2018 – PREDICTIONS

While Kristen Bell prepares to take the stage as the first ever host of the SAG Awards, let’s take a look at the nominees, as I make my predictions

TELEVISION PREDICTIONS


Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series
THE CROWN
GAME OF THRONES
THE HANDMAID’S TALE
STRANGER THINGS
THIS IS US

Normally I would say that the Guild will repeat a STRANGER THINGS win, as they often tend to repeat winners. However, this year, THE HANDMAID’S TALE is extremely strong, and with fantastic performances by even the supporting cast. So I think that’s the ensemble that’ll win.

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series
BLACK-ISH
CURB YOUR ENTHUSIASM
GLOW
ORANGE IS THE NEW BLACK
VEEP

VEEP is still quite relevant talked about. Even though it’s quite possible that the Guild sticks with the ensemble that has won this for the last three years—ORANGE IS THE NEW BLACK—I have a feeling they’ll finally award the stellar performances by the cast of VEEP.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series
Millie Bobby Brown, STRANGER THINGS
Claire Foy, THE CROWN
Laura Linney, OZARK
Elisabeth Moss, THE HANDMAID’S TALE
Robin Wright, HOUSE OF CARDS

Elisabeth Moss, for sure! The SAG were not so generous to her during the MAD MEN days, but I don’t think they’ll be able to overlook her devastating performance as a handmaid.  

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series
Jason Bateman, OZARK
Sterling K. Brown, THIS IS US
Peter Dinklage, GAME OF THRONES
David Harbour, STRANGER THINGS
Bob Odenkirk, BETTER CALL SAUL

This is a tough one. There can’t be a repeat winner here, since none of these roles have won before. Since last year’s winning role was a supporting role (John Lithgow for THE CROWN), I wouldn’t rule even Harbour out this year. Brown has a winning streak going, but he hasn’t won an Actor for THIS before. Still, I think the odds are in his favor. I think it’ll be Brown.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series
Uzo Aduba, ORANGE IS THE NEW BLACK
Alison Brie, GLOW
Jane Fonda, GRACE AND FRANKIE
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, VEEP
Lily Tomlin, GRACE AND FRANKIE

If this was the Globes, I would predict Alison Brie, but the SAG loves repeating winners, so I’m going with Julia Louis-Dreyfus. I predict this because the buzz surrounding VEEP is still strong, while people have practically forgotten about ORANGE (Aduba has won this one twice before).  

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series
Anthony Anderson, BLACK-ISH
Aziz Ansari, MASTER OF NONE
Larry David, CURB YOUR ENTHUSIASM
Sean Hayes, WILL & GRACE
William H. Macy, SHAMELESS
Marc Maron, GLOW

This category can go in any direction. One could say that Macy or Hayes could win, since they’ve both won multiple times before. David hasn’t won before, so he’s out. Ansari won the Globe, but he’s had bad press recently, so maybe he’s out too. Anderson could win, but I doubt it. Maron won’t. I think Hayes will win. He’s won thrice before for this role, and the SAG is probably just waiting to hand him more Actor statuettes for it (remember Alec Baldwin winning seven years straight?).

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
Laura Dern, BIG LITTLE LIES
Nicole Kidman, BIG LITTLE LIES
Jessica Lange, FEUD: BETTE & JOAN
Susan Sarandon, FEUD: BETTE & JOAN
Reese Witherspoon, BIG LITTLE LIES

The Emmy and the Golden Globe went to her, and the Actor will go to Nicole Kidman too. I don’t think anyone predicts otherwise.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
Benedict Cumberbatch, SHERLOCK
Jeff Daniels, GODLESS
Robert De Niro, THE WIZARD OF LIES
Geoffrey Rush, GENIUS
Alexander Skarsgård, BIG LITTLE LIES

It’s their year. BIG LITTLE LIES will win here. Yes, even though Skarsgård has a supporting role.  


MOTION PICTURE PREDICTIONS

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
The Big Sick
Get Out
Lady Bird
Mudbound
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
Judi Dench, Victoria & Abdul
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
James Franco, The Disaster Artist
Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Hong Chau, Downsizing
Holly Hunter, The Big Sick
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Steve Carell, Battle Of The Sexes
Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water

Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

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