To actors, by actors and for acting—tonight’s the night that begins with actors sharing anecdotes from their journeys in the profession, as the community of actors come together to recognize the best of their peers’ work over the last one year. Let’s take a look at the nominations and take a swing at what might go down tonight…
Among the film categories, it’s safe to say that Birdman is winning ensemble cast. The film’s actors have collectively been nominated for more awards than the actors of any other film this year. And it’s gems like The Help that can win at this ‘best picture equivalent’, even though they might not be a frontrunner for the big prize at the Oscars or Globes.
|Patricia Arquette, Eddie Redmayne and JK Simmons|
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY AN ENSEMBLE IN A DRAMA SERIES
GAME OF THRONES
HOUSE OF CARDS
The SAG-AFTRA love BOARDWALK EMPIRE, having given its cast Actors for best ensemble twice before. So even though the show hasn’t won for the last two years, this is the last year it’s getting nominated, so I think they will walk away with it this year; like BREAKING BAD did last year. A pleasant surprise would be to see DOWNTON ABBEY, 2013’s winners, winning this year again.
THE BIG BANG THEORY
ORANGE IS THE NEW BLACK
This one’s a no-brainer. The cast of MODERN FAMILY have won at this category for four years, and I don’t see that changing. The SAG-AFTRA definitely recognize consistently good performances more than the HFPA even. An upset could be ORANGE IS THE NEW BLACK, but I doubt they’ll win.
Steve Buscemi, BOARDWALK EMPIRE
Peter Dinklage, GAME OF THRONES
Woody Harrelson, TRUE DETECTIVE
Matthew McConaughey, TRUE DETECTIVE
Kevin Spacey, HOUSE OF CARDS
Matthew McConaughey’s been a frontrunner for every award show since the first season of TRUE DETECTIVE. However, he lost out at the Emmys and the Golden Globes, so for the SAGs, I wouldn’t assume that he’ll win. He does stand a strong chance, but I’m going to go with Steve Buscemi on this one.
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Claire Danes, HOMELAND
Viola Davis, HOW TO GET AWAY WITH MURDER
Julianna Margulies, THE GOOD WIFE
Tatiana Maslany, ORPHAN BLACK
Maggie Smith, DOWNTON ABBEY
Robin Wright, HOUSE OF CARDS
Margulies has won twice already, Danes has won once, so has Maggie Smith. It could be any of these three this year, but I suspect it’s going to be Maggie Smith. Julianna Margulies would be more deserving, but I doubt the SAG-AFTRA will go back to her. Robin Wright could be a surprise winner.
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
Ty Burrell, MODERN FAMILY
Louis C.K., LOUIE
William H. Macy, SHAMELESS
Jim Parsons, THE BIG BANG THEORY
Eric Stonestreet, MODERN FAMILY
Ty Burrell could be a repeat recipient, after winning last year (Alec Baldwin won for four consecutive years before that, for 30 ROCK). So I think I’m going to go with Burrell. The pleasant surprise here would be Jim Parsons.
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
Uzo Aduba, ORANGE IS THE NEW BLACK
Julie Bowen, MODERN FAMILY
Edie Falco, NURSE JACKIE
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, VEEP
Amy Poehler, PARKS AND RECREATION
Amy Poehler should get her due, but I think the SAG-AFTRA will latch on further to last year’s winner, the awards-favorite Julia Louis-Dreyfus, by giving the Actor to her again this time.
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A TELEVISION MOVIE OR MINISERIES
Adrien Brody, HOUDINI
Mark Ruffalo, THE NORMAL HEART
Benedict Cumberbatch, SHERLOCK
Richard Jenkins, OLIVE KITTERIDGE
Billy Bob Thornton, FARGO
This is quite an unpredictable category. I think it’ll be between Benedict Cumberbatch and Billy Bob Thornton. I’m putting my money on Cumberbatch.
Ellen Burstyn, FLOWERS IN THE ATTIC
Maggie Gyllenhaal, THE HONORABLE WOMAN
Frances McDormand, OLIVE KITTERIDGE
Julia Roberts, THE NORMAL HEART
Cicely Tyson, THE TRIP TO BOUNTIFUL
I want Julia Roberts to win this one, but I think it’ll be Golden Globe winner Maggie Gyllenhaal.
OUTSTANDING ACTION PERFORMANCE BY A STUNT ENSEMBLE IN A COMEDY OR DRAMA SERIES
24: LIVE ANOTHER DAY
GAME OF THRONES
SONS OF ANARCHY
THE WALKING DEAD
GAME OF THRONES will win its fourth Actor for its stunt ensemble.
Who are your favorite actors for Actors at the SAGs this year?